2013年5月5日 星期日

RBI move may deal a blow to gold jewellery business

The decision of the central bank to restrict banks to importing gold on a consignment basis only to meet the needs of exporters of gold jewellery will deal a blow to many domestic jewellers, especially small ones, as a majority of the imported gold is used to make ornaments for use in the local market.
On Friday, in the annual monetary policy for fiscal year 2014, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said banks can import gold only to meet the genuine needs of exporters of gold jewellery,Home energy monitor  implying that imported gold cannot be used to make ornaments for consumption in the domestic market. The central bank also restricted the facility of loans against gold coins per customer to gold coins weighing up to 50 gm.
RBI’s proposal, yet to be notified officially, is aimed at curbing the import of physical gold, which, along with crude imports, have been putting pressure on India’s current account deficit.
The deficit touched a record high of 6.7% of India’s gross domestic product (GDP) in the third quarter of the year ended March.
In the 12 months ended December, total gold demand in India was 864.2 tonnes, down 12% from 986.3 tonnes a year earlier, according to the World Gold Council (WGC).
India is the largest importer of gold and more than half of the imported gold is used for wedding ornaments, according to WGC.
Only 20% of the ornaments are exported,Home energy management  gold industry officials and bankers said. Unlike other countries, India has a liking for the yellow metal more due to its linkages with tradition rather than for mere investment.
RBI curbing gold imports will mean that domestic jewellers will have to recycle old ornaments once they run out of stock, jewellers said. “This will create major issues to us as the availability of gold will be limited,” said P.P. Jose, executive director at Joyalukkas India Pvt. Ltd, a Kerala-based jewellery chain with 85 outlets around the world.
A central banker, on condition of anonymity, said jewellers can use the domestic gold reserve and even sell jewellery made of gold of lesser purity. “Why should banks import gold on their behalf?” he asked.
Some jewellers said the restrictions might not have a major impact on their businesses as there are other ways to import gold.
“The restrictions have been imposed only on consignment-based imports. But there are other ways to import gold, like importing it by paying a fixed price or taking it on loan,” said Mehul Choksi, Power monitor managing director at Gitanjali Group. “I don’t see much of an adverse impact of this measure.”
Smaller jewellers do not share this optimism.
The new rules will also impact the sale of gold coins by banks, bankers said.
“There won’t be gold available any more as gold import will be permitted only to meet the needs of exporters. Coin sales will stop,” said the chief general manager at a large state-run bank, who looks after the sale of gold coins. He declined to be named.
A few state-run banks, including State Bank of India, offer gold deposit schemes, under which customers pledge ornaments and receive money in return with interest amount. Banks melt such ornaments and make coins, which are then sold to the public. Banks also offer imported gold coins to customers. On maturity, the customer can take back the gold or equivalent money.
An official with a private bank said banks will have to restrict the sale of gold coins to below 50 gm. Also, the restriction to import gold only for the export of jewellery could change the pricing dynamics for banks, the official said, requesting anonymity.
“We currently sell in denominations of 5 gm to 100 gm, which will have to come down. Also, when we import gold from other banks, we do not pay them upfront but pay them as and when we sell the imported gold. This will not be allowed from now, which means it could become too expensive for banks to pay, making the business unviable,” the official said.
Bankers said they will seek clarifications from RBI as early as next week on the guidelines on gold, citing its repercussions in the market.

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